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Bold election prediction

Published Wednesday, October 06, 2004 by seanlmccarthy | E-mail this post

An absurd presidential campaign deserves an even more absurd ending, don't you think? Consider this scenario: Kerry defeats Bush handily in the popular vote -- victory margin in the millions (plural) -- but Bush finds a way to squirrel away another electoral vote victory. Keep an eye on my blog's new graphic link to electoral-vote.com if you think it's a crazy prediction. Or consider it another, more rational way...by taking a page from 2000. If all of Nader's 2000 voters switched to Gore, except for oh, 537 or so Floridians, Bush still would have won despite an even bigger loss in the popular vote. So it is possible to have Kerry win 51% vs. Bush's 48% of the popular vote (figure Nader at 1%) and still lose the Electoral College to Bush. Just throwing it out there so you're not completely shocked next month.